Hiển thị các bài đăng có nhãn economic. Hiển thị tất cả bài đăng
Hiển thị các bài đăng có nhãn economic. Hiển thị tất cả bài đăng

Thứ Hai, 15 tháng 4, 2013

China's economic growth slows

China Economy Shanghai tower

A worker carries steel bars on top of the construction site of Shanghai Tower while the skyscrapers in the Pudong area are shrouded in the heavy fog in Shanghai, China. Picture: AP Source: AP

CHINA'S economic growth slowed unexpectedly in the first three months of the year, fuelling concern about the strength of its shaky recovery.

The world's second-largest economy grew by 7.7 per cent in the first quarter of this year, down from the previous quarter's 7.9 per cent, the government reported Monday. That fell short of many private sector forecasts that growth would accelerate slightly to 8 per cent.

A recovery still is under way but is "very soft - very slow and gradual," said Societe Generale economist Wei Yao.

China's growth rebounded late last year from its deepest slump since the 2008 global crisis but analysts say a recovery will be weak and still is being supported by government spending, while growth in consumer spending is subdued.

The economy has given mixed signals, raising questions about whether a full-fledged recovery was gaining traction.

Inflation fell in March, suggesting consumer demand might not be as strong as Beijing hoped. Import growth accelerated, suggesting companies and consumers were buying more, but some analysts said those figures might be distorted and unreliable.

Bank lending has risen but Monday's data showed investment, which is a key driver of the latest recovery, slowing.

Spending on factories, real estate and other fixed assets rose 20.9 per cent in the first quarter, down from the 21.1 per cent rate for the first two months of the year.

That shows the economy suffers from structural problems including excess production capacity in some industries that makes more investment unprofitable, said Yao.

"Given all this credit injected into the system, the future should look better," said Yao. "Nevertheless, the level of efficiency in the economy has declined. The same amount of money will no longer produce the same amount of growth."


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Chủ Nhật, 24 tháng 3, 2013

Cypriots rage against 'economic WWIII'

Cyprus President Nicos Anastasiades entered emergency talks with creditors seeking to avert bankruptcy.

FIERCE negotiations to resurrect a deal for the EU and the IMF to bail out Cyprus appear to have wrapped up early, President Nicos Anastasiades has indicated on Twitter.

"Efforts have culminated", read a translation from the Greek, with EU sources subsequently stating that a preliminary agreement is in place to hit Bank of Cyprus depositors with a massive 40 per cent "haircut" on deposits of more than 100,000 euros pending endorsement by Eurogroup finance ministers.

Waiting Eurogroup finance ministers were set to go over the new plan with a view to approval.

During more than 10 hours of talks with bosses from the ECB, IMF and the EU, Anastasiades had fought for the survival of the island's No. 1 lender, the Bank of Cyprus.

The deal hammered out would see the bank, which carries one third of all holdings, survive.

But this would come at a massive price for investors, which one senior EU source said could be as high as 40 per cent.

With Cyprus' banks on the verge of collapse, residents in the capital are pessimistic over the future of their economy. Jessica Gray reports.

Another senior EU source said there would be no levy -- a major U-turn from last week's collapsed deal to clobber all savers on the island.

But Cyprus's second bank, Laiki, would be wound up as part of the agreement, he added.

Smaller account-holders will be covered by the EU's deposit guarantee legislation, which runs to the 100,000-euro threshold, while those above that level face a hefty haircut.

The negotiations were aimed at pulling together some seven billion euros, mainly from the Cypriot banking sector, to unlock a 10-billion-euro ($A12.51 billion) loans package from eurozone partners and the International Monetary Fund.

A major sticking point throughout the talks was a European Central Bank demand for the Bank of Cyprus to pay a nine-billion-euro bill due to Frankfurt.

Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades

Cypriot president Nicos Anastasiades warned he may be forced to quit as he battles Brussels bailout bosses.

Earlier, hundreds of Cypriot demonstrators have rallied outside EU offices and the presidential palace in Nicosia, calling on the government to defy international pressure to take a "criminal" bailout.

As they awaited the result of last-ditch talks in Brussels, the protesters slammed President Nicos Anastasiades and the so-called troika of the European Union, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Central Bank (ECB).

About 500 members of the communist Akel Party gathered outside the offices of the European Commission chanting: "Don't bow, people of Cyprus, stand up for your rights," and "Troika prints euros and buys nations".

"This is the Third World War in an economic form and we will stand up to it with all of our strength," protester Marina Charalambous said.

Another protester, Anda Dimitriou, said: "Cypriots are proud people, very hardworking people. Europe's stance is unacceptable and criminal."

Cyprus Financial Crisis

A banking bust in Cyprus sent savers on to the streets in protest last week and sparked fears of another European crisis.

Athina Kariati, said Cyprus had to fight efforts to make it accept conditions including a "haircut" for bank depositors.

"They are going to let people starve in order to save the large capital," she said. "Right now we have to save our economy completely, refuse to pay the debt and nationalise the banks," she said.

Party member Andreas, a pensioner who declined to give his surname, said the troika were "not considering the people of Cyprus, but only figures and money".

"Their main concern is about Cypriot banks and that goes against the basic principle of the EU, guarding people's wellbeing," he said.

Akel, which has 19 seats in the 56-member parliament, had refused to sign a bailout agreement on the terms on offer while it was in power before Anastasiades's election last month.

"Anastasiades is responsible for this," said Charles Vassiliou, another Akel member.

"He listens to the troika. Akel would have handled the situation very differently. We would never have put Cyprus hostage to the troika. We would have quit the eurozone and gone back to the (Cyprus) pound."

Some demonstrators were gloomily fatalistic about Cyprus eventually being forced to abandon the European single currency that it adopted in 2008.

"We are bankrupt," said Starvros Georgiou.

"Sooner or later we will return to the pound with tremendous consequences."

The other protest at the presidential palace involved around 200 people, mostly bank workers whose jobs and pensions are on the line.

They held a banner saying: "We will not become slaves of the 21st century."

A female protester who declined to give her name compared the crisis to 1974, the year that Turkish troops occupied the island's northern third in response to an Athens-engineered coup in Nicosia aimed at union with Greece.

"Everything is pre-planned because the government wants to follow the troika. Everything is sold and betrayed as back in 1974," she said angrily.

"How can there be a light at the end of the tunnel when a government doesn't know how to negotiate, only because they want to follow troika. Anastasiades is committed to (German Chancellor Angela) Merkel."

Negotiations in Brussels among Eurogroup finance ministers on Cyprus were put back by at least two hours on Sunday as talks dragged on between Anastasiades and EU and IMF chiefs.


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Thứ Năm, 7 tháng 3, 2013

Dollar lower as US economic data improves

THE Australian dollar is lower against the US dollar, which is surging on the back of better economic data.

At 12pm AEDT today, the local unit was trading at 102.27 US cents, down from 102.84 cents yesterday.

Last night, Australian time, payrolls firm ADP said the US private sector added about 198,000 new jobs in February, which was better than expected.

Easy Forex senior dealer Francisco Solar said economic data may mean the US Federal Reserve could end an economic stimulus program called quantitative easing earlier than expected.

QE has dampened the value of the US dollar and is a major factor why the Australian dollar is above parity with its American counterpart.

"There seems to be a shift in thinking as far as the US dollar is concerned in the sense the that strong US data means strong US dollar," Mr Solar said. "People are repatriating funds thinking the American economy is looking pretty good to invest in at the moment."


"The ADP report came in better than expected, maybe giving a clue to where non-farm payrolls will come at tomorrow night."

Early Saturday morning (Australian time), the US will release its official measure of employment data, called non-farm payrolls.

Mr Solar said he expected the Australian dollar to trade in a range between 101.80 US cents and 102.60 cents this afternoon.

Meanwhile, Australian bond futures prices were lower at noon. At 12pm AEDT today, the March 10-year bond futures contract was trading at 96.605 (implying a yield of 3.395 per cent), down from 96.625 (3.375 per cent) yesterday. The March three-year bond futures contract was steady at 97.160 (2.840 per cent). The March 90-day bank bill futures contract, expired at midday, finishing at 96.990 (3.010 per cent), down from 97.010 (2.990 per cent).


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